Saturday, February 09, 2013

Hayward’s wayward BP ways?

B&E’s Steven Philip Warner talks to various global oil & climate experts from the likes of Goldman Sachs, Credit Suisse, Standard & Poor’s, Argus Research, JBC Energy & Varda Group to find out what awaits BP’s fate? Will BP, which as recently as two months back was the second most valued oil major in the world, disappear?

“You need to go to jail, Hayward!” These were the loud words heard moments before the publicly accused CEO of BP, Tony Hayward, began his validations before the US Congress’ Energy and Commerce Subcommittee on Oversight and Investigations in Washington on June 18, 2010. The heckler was a woman, with black tar smeared all over her hands and face. She was angered at the BP Chief for the oil spill at the company’s Macondo project deepwater rig in the Gulf of Mexico – the very reason which caused BP’s shareholders to lose $93.4 billion in just 59 days, also considered the most ignominious retreat by any non-banking & financial stock within a span of two months! The cynic was hurriedly removed from the room. Given a chance, many say BP’s shareholders would have done the same to Hayward.

But Hayward didn’t budge during the seven hour-long humiliation session, during which, the beleaguered executive was found to be at his diplomatic best, making his way clean around all the queries. [He used lines like “I don’t know”, “I am not comfortable answering...” and “I was not in the decision making process” about 70 times during the session!] Quite a contrast to the manner in which the four CEOs of Exxon, Conoco Phillips, Shell and Chevron unanimously agreed to the Congress in the same meeting that the prime reason for the BP disaster was the company’s failure to implement industry best practices during the Macondo operation. BP used six centralisers, while Halliburton (BP’s cement contractor), had advised it to use 21 to prevent proper and safe channelling during the cement process. BP also did not test the cement, which gave way under the high water pressure, 5000 feet below the surface. The engineers ignored the need to circulate gas-bearing muds out of the well and to secure the wellhead with a lockdown sleeve before allowing pressure on the seal from below. In short – it opted for lower costs over safety. But Hayward was not broken.

The US Congress members however left home satisfied. They had made up their minds before they walked in. No matter what Hayward replied, they were prepared to leave with much the same opinion. The BP chief was placed there to act out a soliloquy on a ‘high-gentry’ stage, where the script was designed to humiliate the might of a British company, which two months back was the second-most valued oil company in the world with an Mcap of $188.32 billion (only behind Exxon, the most valued in the world today)! Hayward on the other hand had reasons for much discomfort.


Source : IIPM Editorial, 2012.
An Initiative of IIPMMalay Chaudhuri
and Arindam Chaudhuri (Renowned Management Guru and Economist).

For More IIPM Info, Visit below mentioned IIPM articles.
2012 : DNA National B-School Survey 2012
Ranked 1st in International Exposure (ahead of all the IIMs)
Ranked 6th Overall

Zee Business Best B-School Survey 2012
Prof. Arindam Chaudhuri’s Session at IMA Indore
IIPM IN FINANCIAL TIMES, UK. FEATURE OF THE WEEK
IIPM strong hold on Placement : 10000 Students Placed in last 5 year
IIPM’s Management Consulting Arm-Planman Consulting
Professor Arindam Chaudhuri – A Man For The Society….
IIPM: Indian Institute of Planning and Management
IIPM makes business education truly global
Management Guru Arindam Chaudhuri
Rajita Chaudhuri-The New Age Woman
IIPM B-School Facebook Page
IIPM Global Exposure
IIPM Best B School India
IIPM B-School Detail

IIPM Links
IIPM : The B-School with a Human Fac

Friday, February 08, 2013

Houston, we have a problem... Portugal!

Though EU & IMF have agreed on an audacious $956 billion bailout plan for the Euro zone to control the sovereign debt crisis that started with Greece, it won’t be of much help. B&E talks to experts across continents, including the European Central Bank to analyse who all are next in the felicitation parade by Manish K Pandey
 

Almost a month ago when ash clouds from Iceland’s volcano Eyjafjallaj-kull were showing their prowess by bringing almost all European airports to halt, not many knew about the danger that was about to engulf Greece and had the capability of bringing some of the biggest euro zone economies to a standstill. Then it came and even Greek gods could not save their beleaguered nation from its fury. Result: The $333.53 billion economy (2009 estimate) has today almost but collapsed. While Standard & Poor’s has already rated Greek bonds as junk (first time a euro member has lost its investment grade since 1999), its fiscal deficit is hovering around 14% of GDP.

As Greece now moves closer to a sovereign default, several economists believe that the turmoil would not end here, and would continue to take some more in its wake. Taking into account the deteriorating financial strength of the banking systems in nations like Ireland, UK, Spain, Italy, et al, any or all of them could be the usual suspects. But leading the identification parade is Portugal, a country could well be the talk of the town very soon with respect to a domino collapse. Robert Thomas, Senior Vice President, Moody’s Investor Service, based out of UK, shares with B&E, “Despite many fundamental differences to Greece, Portugal is now at the forefront of investor concern if the risk of contagion continues.”

The signals sent by Portugal are almost similar to the ones propelled by Greece just before the financial volcano erupted there. Like its distressed Euro-partner, Portugal too has a fragile public finance. Its budget deficit is already around 9.4%, which is an astonishing 6% higher than the standards set by EU. Further, Portugal’s foreign liabilities are close to 108% of its GDP ($225.35 billion), much higher when compared with Greece whose foreign liabilities stand at 87% of GDP ($264.82 billion). Truly, Spain too has foreign liabilities that are equivalent to 91% of it GDP ($1.20 trillion), but unlike Spain, Portugal has been suffering from a bigger problem of very slow growth rates over the last decade. CMA DataVision, a UK-based research firm that tracks the riskiness of sovereign debt, rates Portugal’s performance during Q1 2010 to be the worst in the developed world. As per it, the spread between the starting price of swaps in January 2010 and the end price in March 2010 has widened to 52.3%. So, while last year Portugal’s GDP declined by 0.1%, this year it is forecast to slow down even further, by 3.3%. And the only solution that Portugal has if it wants to stick to the lifeline is to borrow from foreign investors. But, that’s exactly where the problem lies. If interest rates stay high, this dormant volcano can erupt any time to engulf the Portuguese economy. Not to forget, investors are already demanding an interest rate of 6% on Portuguese bonds.


Source : IIPM Editorial, 2012.
An Initiative of IIPMMalay Chaudhuri
and Arindam Chaudhuri (Renowned Management Guru and Economist).

For More IIPM Info, Visit below mentioned IIPM articles.

Wednesday, February 06, 2013

Ram V. Shahi, Former Power Secretary, Government of India, shares the dynamics between power and coal

Ram V. Shahi, post his tenure as Power Secretary, has been associated with various organizations as head of their energy advisory boards. In an exclusive interview with B&E, he shares the interdependence of the coal and power sectors in India

B&E: How will the cess of Rs. 50 per tonne levied on coal affect power tariffs in the short to medium term?
RVS:
The cess of Rs.50 per tonne on coal will have an effect on the cost of power generated in coal based power stations in the range of 3 paise to 4 paise per KWhr. Its effect at the level of consumer tariff, however, will be of the order of 5 to 6 paise per KWhr in view of transmission and distribution loses. This cess, which will lead to revenue, on a national basis, of the order of Rs.30 billion per year, will go towards encouraging Green Energy. In this very budget, Service Tax on Transmission has been abolished. Therefore, positive impact of abolition of Service Tax would be about 5 paise per unit if we consider inter-regional transmission of power. Thus, additional burden on account of coal cess is more or less offset by the concession in Service Tax.

B&E: How will the move to allow open auctions for coal mining blocks affect fuel availability for power plants and what will be the effects on consumers?
RVS:
The proposed initiative for coal mine development by allotting coal blocks on the basis of competitive bidding is a positive one. However, the criterion for evaluating bids should be the cost of producing coal rather than any premium that the mine developer may be asked to offer to the Government. Development of coal blocks through the process of competitive bidding should be on the same basis as the Scheme of Ultra Mega Power Projects. The objective should be low cost power by way of competitive bids for coal as well as power projects. Obviously, consumers will benefit from less expensive power supply.

B&E: If the pending Bill on Coal reforms which will allow private players to mine coal for non-captive usage is passed, will it bring about much needed power shortages under control?
RVS:
While the power sector reform has moved forward, commencing from the historic legislation Electricity Act 2003, followed by several other policy initiatives, coal sector reform process has remained stagnant at the point when the Bill on coal was introduced in Parliament in 2001. Therefore, the present legislative initiative is a welcome move of the Ministry of Coal. The power industry is heavily dependent on coal just as coal industry has the largest consumers in the power sector, to the extent of 75% of its production. The present mismatches in reform initiatives are causing avoidable adverse impact not only on power sector but on economy as a whole. Therefore, coal sector reforms have to catch up fast with the actions that have happened, and will happen more rapidly, in the power sector.


Source : IIPM Editorial, 2012.
An Initiative of IIPMMalay Chaudhuri
and Arindam Chaudhuri (Renowned Management Guru and Economist).

For More IIPM Info, Visit below mentioned IIPM articles.

Tuesday, February 05, 2013

Uneasy lies the head...

More so when it wears the Citi crown! Is Vikram Pandit drowning in a vicious cycle? by Deepak Ranjan Patra

The honeymoon is over now, and 2010 has to be the year whereby you begin showing the world that you are a force to be reckoned with...” (2010; Forbes)

“He got my message very clear that my support has been withdrawn. You can’t go publicly & say our losses are around $3 billion post-tax and then all the sudden add another $11 billion loss.” (2007; Fortune)

T here is a lot these two statements reveal when you take them in the right perspective. Both these statements were made by Prince Alwaleed Bin Talal Al-Saud, Citigroup’s biggest individual shareholder. The difference, besides the years, is that the comments were directed at then Citi-CEO Chuck Prince in 2007; and to Vikram Pandit now. The message is loud and clear – perform or perish. Prince didn’t get it right; and Pandit is tethering close to an encore.

Into his third year as the head of Citigroup, Pandit is now facing stiffening pressure from investors to prove his mettle. More so after his peers at Goldman Sachs and Wells Fargo managed to transform their banks from Wall Street’s problem children to money making machines... and Pandit failed.

Beating industry expectations, both Goldman Sachs and Wells Fargo have posted annual net incomes of $13.39 billion and $12.3 billion respectively. On the other hand, Citigroup has posted a net loss of $1.6 billion. Pandit’s pals may argue that the bank would have returned to profit in the last fiscal had it not faced a $6.2 billion hit on the repayment of bail-out funds. But did Pandit not know, since June 2009, that Citi would have to meet this requirement at year-end?


Source : IIPM Editorial, 2012.
An Initiative of IIPMMalay Chaudhuri
and Arindam Chaudhuri (Renowned Management Guru and Economist).

For More IIPM Info, Visit below mentioned IIPM articles.

Monday, February 04, 2013

Rick swings, GM misses

...and the shareholders get their pants walloped!

Rick Wagoner during his 8-year term as the CEO & Chairman of GM has oft been described by industry experts as a leader who lacked the “ruthless streak” needed to make the tough decisions... Well, allow us to be crude. Many do claim that he tried his best to revive the lost glory of the wounded auto-maker. Sadly, his best wasn’t enough, and today, his successor, Fritz Henderson, is fighting hard to present a viability plan before the Senate, by June 1, 2009. There is no denying that GM has proved to be Detroit’s biggest blunder in these recessionary times, and all because Wagoner behaved like the wicked kid who skipped classes at Harvard (by the way, he’s an HBS Alumni) and played baseball, trying to hit home runs every ball; but he failed [And guess what, many are blaming the recession for GM’s miserable state]. So here are the bull-headed swings that failed to deliver the so-called homies and which make up for one of the biggest business blunders in the past 100 years.

Swing & Miss #1: Being the CEO of a First World brand, his ‘American legacy’ ego prevented him from shifting units to emerging nations. Swing & Miss #2: Axing of the EV1 electric car project in 2003, which Wagoner admitted was one of his “greatest blunders.” The product, which was the world’s first electric car, could well have become the future of GM. But then again, isn’t GM all about brawns and hefty Hummers? What Wagoner forgot was that fuel-efficiency is something that leaders like Toyota and Honda have focussed on besides offering powerful engines... [Rick, you skipped your market segmentation lessons too?]

Swing & Miss #3: GM’s premature focus on hybrids cost the company too much. Despite being in the news for over 15 years now, hybrids only contribute to about 2.15% of all vehicle sales! Then there are reports which prove how by 2020, oil production will cross a smashing 1,600 million barrels annually – 6667% more than what was produced in 2003! In other words, hybrids are not required in the near future year, but Wagoner still believes it, for he has to swing!


Source : IIPM Editorial, 2012.
An Initiative of IIPMMalay Chaudhuri
and Arindam Chaudhuri (Renowned Management Guru and Economist).

For More IIPM Info, Visit below mentioned IIPM articles.